Neutral start: 13:05
Official start: 13:20
Finish: ~17:26-17:49
After the battle for the green jersey of the Tour de France has only raged in the background over the past few days, it will certainly take centre stage on the exit from the French Alps. The general expectation for this day is that there will be a close sprint to the finish in the last few hundred metres. But I'm not sure if that really needs to happen. On paper it says "flat stage", but on the way to Saint-Etienne the peloton has to overcome a number of not entirely irrelevant climbs.
It may well be worth sending a sprinting contender for the green jersey into a breakaway group and trying to outsprint the rivals from this category along the way. Whether this scenario is realistic depends not least on how many of the sprinters roll up to the start after the Alpine exertions. It is impossible for individual teams to control the action here and form a large breakaway group.
The situation is different if several sprinter captains are able to utilise the team resources for this task. This could result in a sprinters' alliance in order to achieve victory at the finish line. Another likely scenario, however, is a successful breakaway if too few teams are able or willing to invest in a sprint.
As a professional cyclist, our expert Rolf Aldag rode the Tour de France ten times up to 2004; as manager and sporting director, he has led various top teams through France and this year, for the first time, he will be in charge of the German team Bora-Hansgrohe as sporting director at the Tour de France. There are few people who can tell so vividly what can happen on the stages of a grand tour and within the peloton.
For TOUR the 53-year-old sports manager has once again carefully studied the elevation profiles and route tables for this year's Tour de France. In his predictions, he names the teams and riders he sees at the front on each day, assesses the difficulties of the routes and says where he expects attacks and from whom. Will there be a bunch sprint? Will a breakaway group make it to the finish?
Aldag also assesses for TOUR what role each stage plays for the classification jerseys (see above): The more coloured jerseys our expert assigns to a stage, the greater its significance for the respective classification. The yellow jersey symbolises the weight of the respective stage in the overall classification, the green jersey stands for the importance of the best sprinter in the points classification and the red dotted jersey for the mountain classification, i.e. for the best climber.
The preview with Rolf Aldag of the stages of the 2022 Tour de France
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