We have barely arrived in the Alps before we leave them again. Today's starting point, Saint-Jean-de-Maurienne, is part of the Tour inventory, while the finishing point, Saint-Vulbas, is on the programme for the first time. In the middle of a flat agricultural region that borders directly on the Rhone, the village has just as many inhabitants as the nuclear reactor located here has employees - just over 1000. I wouldn't consider speed of reaction to be particularly important today until the last few kilometres, as the stage leaves little room for surprises. With two climbs in the fourth category, it does offer a nice opportunity for breakaways to present themselves, but I don't think any breakaway group has a serious chance. The two fourth-category climbs are too easy for that, especially the Cote de Lhuis 30 kilometres before the finish line.
Everyone who is a serious contender for a stage win will control the peloton here and prepare for a sprint. Even though we are still early in the race, this stage will play an important role in the battle for the green jersey. There are not many opportunities for sprinters, and dominance achieved early in this competition puts the rivals under additional pressure. If you do a lot of things right early on, you might just have to pull off the jersey.
As a racer with a great overview, Rolf Aldag was a bank for successful Tour teams and supported Bjarne Riis and Jan Ullrich in their victories in France. As a sports manager and sporting director, the Westphalian is also one of the most respected representatives in the industry. He is also planning the Tour de France mission again in 2024 with the newly named Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe team. As in previous years, Aldag has once again analysed this year's Tour exclusively for the readers of TOUR.
The 55-year-old has looked at the dramaturgy of the route planners and gone into detail to assess the possible course of the individual stages. In this work, he reflects on which constellations are likely in the race and which riders are likely to have particular hopes - or worries - on which stages. He also includes his view on innovations and trends in the business. In addition, Aldag provides a compact overview of the relevance of the respective stage for which classification. He assigns zero to three jerseys per classification: for the overall classification (yellow jersey), the points classification for the best sprinters (green jersey) and the Tour's mountain classification (dotted jersey). In this way, Rolf Aldag's forecast offers added value every day.
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