Sebastian Lindner
· 14.07.2026
Between the foothills of the Massif Central and the Jura, the 11th stage of the Tour winds its way along the lowlands of the Allier and Loire rivers from Vichy to Nevers. The terrain is not entirely flat; there are frequent small undulations to navigate. None of them is a big deal on its own, but over the course of 161 kilometres, they do add up to a total of 1,400 metres of elevation gain.
The route heads straight north for the first 120 kilometres. After just under 28 kilometres, there is an early intermediate sprint, followed shortly afterwards by the first mountain classification (4th category). After that, there is relatively little of note for quite a while. Shortly before the day’s second mountain classification (4th category), the route veers westwards, before taking an additional loop northwards from that direction to enter Nevers. The finish in this town of 33,000 inhabitants is straightforward, with only a few bends posing any additional danger.
Just before the Teufelslappen, you have to negotiate an ‘S’ bend, after which there are ten more roundabouts to go through, all of which you drive straight through. The final straight is also relatively narrow.
The flat stages so far have all followed the same pattern, and there is really little reason to think things will be any different this time. Apart from the early intermediate sprint, perhaps. For Mads Pedersen (Lidl – Trek), the points picked up along the way have so far been the basis for his green jersey. Consequently, his team may well be keen to keep the peloton together over the first 28 kilometres. However, this also carries the risk that the sprinters with the best finishing speed will get in on the action and snatch even more points from the Dane.
By then at the latest, however, a small breakaway group will have formed, which will liven up the rest of the stage a little. In each of the three previous editions, a professional from Lotto Intermarché has been part of the breakaway. And as the team has few other opportunities to make a name for itself, this is likely to be the case this time too.
Uno-X made the most of every little opportunity to disrupt the daily routine. However, as the final mountain classification is even further from the finish line this time than it was last time, the chances of success are even slimmer. Meanwhile, Soudal–Quick-Step will once again do everything in their power to ensure a bunch sprint, in which Tim Merlier – based on his performances so far – is clearly the man to beat. Whether Alpecin – Premier Tech will once again be as heavily involved in the chase as they have been recently remains to be seen, however, as Jasper Philipsen has failed to impress in the sprints so far, despite having excellent starting positions.
Whilst Pascal Ackermann (Team Jayco AlUla) has been steadily improving and seems to be in good form, the trend in Max Kanter’s (XDS Astana Team) results has been exactly the opposite – although this was also down to unfavourable circumstances in the final, which recently held the Cottbus-born rider back. Both are certainly capable of a podium finish. As for Phil Bauhaus (Bahrain – Victorious), that currently seems rather unlikely.