The stage leading up to the second rest day starts on flat terrain and ends the same way. In between, however, there are 3,500 metres of climbing, in the style of an Ardennes classic. A succession of short and medium-length climbs leaves hardly any time to catch one’s breath: the classic ‘shark’ profile at low-mountain level.
A stage of the Vuelta begins for the first time in Palma del Río, north-east of Seville. After 20 kilometres of flat terrain heading north, the route gradually begins to climb, and the first of three third-category climbs soon lies ahead. Continuing in the same direction, the riders will pass through Villaviciosa de Córdoba after 60 kilometres. From there, they will embark on a loop of just under 40 kilometres, at the end of which the second mountain classification awaits.
The route then follows the same road for a few kilometres – the one it had previously travelled along in the opposite direction – before turning east towards Córdoba. On the way to the finish, the final mountain classification lay 35 kilometres from the finish line. The descent begins 18 kilometres from the finish, and the final ten kilometres are flat.
In terms of the route profile, it could hardly be better suited to a breakaway group. Low mountain range, plenty of climbs, a flat finish. The battle for the breakaway group will be fierce. And it will likely drag on well into the stage. Once a group has broken away, Stune from Visma | Lease a Bike will be the one to beat.
The pattern in this Vuelta is quite clear: unless there is a tough mountain stage coming up, it is the Dutch team that takes control of the race. And they usually do so successfully. After all, with Matthew Brennan, Visma not only has the best sprinter in the race in its ranks, but also one who handles the mountains well. And then there’s Wout van Aert, too. Both have already won stages in this Vuelta a España, work well together and are happy to let each other succeed.
Should things prove too difficult for Brennan, contrary to expectations, the Belgian could step in for the final. However, if Visma gets its top sprinter to the front of the peloton over the final mountain climb, van Aert will look out for the youngster.